BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Letts Louisa-Muscatine

Class: 2A Class Rank: 104 Conference: (12-9) Overall: (13-11) Overall Strength =   50.43

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/01/2006 Home    W *  55.55  59   42   1A  104 ( 6-16) Riverside Highland      5.56     11.44                      
  2 12/05/2006 Away    W *  62.01  80   61   2A  120 ( 5-16) Columbus Junction      12.03      6.97                      
  3 12/08/2006 Home    L *  47.83  51   71   1A   13 (21- 8) Lone Tree              -2.15    -17.85                      
  4 12/09/2006 Away    W    56.09  70   54   1A  115 ( 0-21) Calamus-Wheatland       6.11      9.89                      
  5 12/12/2006 Home    L *  51.87  42   64   1A   12 (24- 4) Iowa Mennonite          1.89    -23.89                      
  6 12/15/2006 Away    L *  19.78  20   51   2A  107 ( 8-15) Mediapolis            -30.21     -0.79                      
  7 12/16/2006 Away    W *  51.86  75   65   1A  106 ( 6-16) New London              1.87      8.13                      
  8 12/19/2006 Home    L *  54.21  55   59   2A   73 (14- 8) Packwood Pekin          4.22     -8.22                      
  9 12/22/2006 Away    L *  44.11  43   52   2A  100 (11-11) Wapello                -5.87     -3.13                      
 10 01/05/2007 Home    W *  68.04  55   52   1A   23 (14- 8) Wayland WACO           18.05    -15.05                      
 11 01/06/2007 Home    W *  60.99  63   57   2A   90 (11-11) Danville               11.00     -5.00                      
 12 01/09/2007 Away    W *  40.79  53   47   1A  130 ( 2-20) Winfield-Mt Union      -9.20     15.20                      
 13 01/12/2007 Away    L *  40.40  53   55   1A  104 ( 6-16) Riverside Highland     -9.59      7.59                      
 14 01/16/2007 Home    W *  45.16  55   49   2A  120 ( 5-16) Columbus Junction      -4.83     10.83                      
 15 01/19/2007 Away    W *  78.69  68   61   1A   13 (21- 8) Lone Tree              28.70    -21.70                      
 16 01/23/2007 Away    L *  39.73  44   82   1A   12 (24- 4) Iowa Mennonite        -10.26 *  -27.74                      
 17 01/26/2007 Home    W *  49.92  52   49   2A  107 ( 8-15) Mediapolis             -0.06      3.06                      
 18 02/02/2007 Home    W *  39.93  63   54   1A  130 ( 2-20) Winfield-Mt Union     -10.05     19.05                      
 19 02/05/2007 Neutral L *  42.92  50   64   2A   90 (11-11) Danville               -7.07     -6.93                      
 20 02/08/2007 Neutral L *  40.46  49   65   2A   94 (11-11) Central Lee            -9.53     -6.47                      
 21 02/12/2007 Home    L    40.56  56   66   2A  103 ( 4-18) Wilton                 -9.43     -0.57  was 01/13 now 02/12 
 22 02/19/2007 Away    W *  59.11  46   40   2A  100 (11-11) Wapello                 9.13     -3.13                      
 23 02/22/2007 Neutral W *  57.85  46   37   2A  107 ( 8-15) Mediapolis              7.86      1.14                      
 24 02/27/2007 Neutral L    51.80  45   65   2A   30 (17-11) Wellman Mid-Prairie     1.82    -21.82                      
      Averages              49.99  53.9 56.8

Best game:   78.69 = 7 point win over Lone Tree
Worst game:  19.78 = 31 point loss to Mediapolis
Team stdev:  11.88